There’s never a good time to issue a travel warning. But with Japan joining the U.S. and Britain in talking up a possible terrorist attack by al-Qaeda or other groups, how much of a profound effect is this likely to have on tourism?
Over the weekend, the U.S. State Department alert advised the hundreds of thousands of American citizens living or traveling in Europe to take more precaution. Britain’s Foreign Office warned those in or going to France and Germany that the terror threat was high.
But the business travelers and tourists arriving Monday at Paris’ Charles de Gaulle airport from the U.S. seemed in bullish mode. Speaking to the AP, people didn’t want the warnings to disrupt their plans.
“I’m very happy to be here in France. I think we’re very safe, and I trust the French government to keep us safe,” said James O’Connell, a 59-year-old from Pittsburgh, arriving in Paris for a 7-day vacation.
Some Germans — both the authorities and citizens — weren’t convinced of the need for caution. “I think it is quite exaggerated,” said Marian Sutholt, 25, of Berlin. “If you worry all the time, you actually live up exactly to what the terrorists want. So you should take things as they come and not worry too much. Hopefully nothing will happen.”
The key metric to keep an eye on will be forward bookings because if mass cancellations take place, especially by American tourists, the impact would be significant as they often stay longer and spend more money than other nationalities.